Florida’s TRUMP Act, a highly debated immigration bill, has successfully passed through the state legislature but is now at a standstill as Governor Ron DeSantis has promised to veto it. The bill, designed to strengthen immigration enforcement in Florida, aligns with former President Donald Trump’s broader national strategy to curb illegal immigration. However, DeSantis has expressed strong opposition, calling the bill “grotesque” and “weak” for not being tough enough.

Key Provisions of the TRUMP Act

The proposed bill aims to allocate $500 million to enhance coordination between state, local, and federal authorities in handling immigration-related issues. It also proposes stricter criminal penalties for undocumented immigrants convicted of crimes, including the possibility of the death penalty in specific cases.

One of the most controversial aspects of the bill is its provision to transfer immigration enforcement powers to Florida’s Agriculture Commissioner, Wilton Simpson, instead of keeping it under the governor’s administration. DeSantis has strongly opposed this move, arguing that immigration enforcement should remain under his direct control.

DeSantis vs. Republican Lawmakers: Growing Tensions

The governor’s opposition to the TRUMP Act has sparked tensions within the Republican Party. Lawmakers backing the bill see it as a crucial step toward aligning Florida’s policies with Trump’s hardline stance on immigration. On the other hand, DeSantis believes the bill does not go far enough in cracking down on illegal immigration.

With the bill at a crossroads, experts are weighing in on its potential impact.

Expert Opinions on the TRUMP Act

Professor Michael A. Leeds: “The Bill Makes No Economic Sense”

Michael A. Leeds, a Professor of Economics at Temple University, argues that the legislation could backfire economically. He explains that if the law successfully removes undocumented workers from Florida, the state will face a severe labor shortage in industries that rely on immigrant workers, such as agriculture, construction, and healthcare.

Without these workers, wages for these demanding jobs will increase, driving up the cost of essential services and consumer goods. Additionally, he notes that undocumented immigrants contribute more in taxes than they receive in government benefits, meaning the bill could put additional strain on the state budget.

Leeds dismisses DeSantis’ opposition as “political grandstanding” and describes the entire situation as a “sad commentary on public policy in America.”

Dr. Aubrey Jewett: “Not a Weak Bill, But It Could Hurt Florida’s Economy”

Dr. Aubrey Jewett, an Associate Professor at the University of Central Florida, disagrees with DeSantis’ claim that the bill is weak. He emphasizes that the legislation significantly strengthens Florida’s crackdown on undocumented immigrants and increases state cooperation with federal immigration authorities.

However, Jewett points out that the bill differs from DeSantis’ own immigration plans in critical ways, such as:

• Assigning enforcement power to the Agriculture Commissioner instead of the Governor.
• Not penalizing law enforcement officers for failing to comply with federal immigration authorities.
• Not restricting undocumented immigrants from wiring money to their home countries.

Jewett also warns that the bill could negatively affect Florida’s economy. With an estimated 800,000 to 1 million undocumented immigrants in Florida, many of whom work in agriculture, hospitality, and construction, the state could see labor shortages and increased costs if a widespread crackdown occurs.

Jessica M. Vaughan: “Fails to Deter Illegal Immigration and Crime”

Jessica M. Vaughan, Director of Policy Studies at the Center for Immigration Studies, criticizes the bill for failing to introduce measures that directly combat illegal migration, human trafficking, and cartel-related crimes.

She argues that Florida needs tougher laws to effectively deter illegal employment and money laundering linked to immigration-related crimes. Vaughan believes that the bill, rather than strengthening Florida’s immigration laws, undermines the progress made under DeSantis’ administration.

Additionally, she raises concerns over the decision to transfer enforcement powers to the Agriculture Commissioner, who is not a law enforcement officer and may prioritize special interests that benefit from illegal immigration.

Dr. Hector H. Sandoval: “Could Cause a Labor Shortage and Higher Wages”

Dr. Hector H. Sandoval, Director of the Economic Analysis Program at the University of Florida, focuses on the potential labor crisis that could arise if the bill is implemented.

He warns that restricting undocumented workers could shrink the workforce in industries heavily reliant on immigrant labor, such as hospitality, construction, and agriculture. This could force businesses to raise wages, increase prices for consumers, and struggle to fill job vacancies.

However, he notes that the overall impact will depend on how strictly the bill is enforced.

Professor Ingrid V. Eagly: “A Financial Burden on Florida”

Professor Ingrid V. Eagly from UCLA School of Law highlights the financial burden the bill could impose on Florida’s economy. She points out that the state would be spending over $500 million on immigration enforcement, a responsibility that typically falls under the federal government.

Additionally, Florida could face legal challenges against the bill, requiring even more state funds to defend it in court. Eagly believes that DeSantis’ opposition is less about the bill’s strength and more about who gets to control immigration enforcement in Florida.

What’s Next for the TRUMP Act?

With DeSantis’ vow to veto the bill, its future remains uncertain. However, the biggest wildcard in this battle is Donald Trump. If Trump chooses to support the bill, Florida lawmakers may push forward despite DeSantis’ objections. On the other hand, if Trump backs DeSantis, the legislature may reconsider or modify the bill to align with the governor’s demands.

If Trump stays silent on the issue, Florida could see a prolonged political battle, with DeSantis potentially losing influence within the Republican Party.

Conclusion: A Divisive Debate with Major Consequences

The TRUMP Act has exposed deep divides within Florida’s Republican leadership. While lawmakers see it as a necessary step to toughen immigration policies, DeSantis believes it does not go far enough.

The bill’s economic impact, enforcement challenges, and political implications are still uncertain. But one thing is clear: Florida’s immigration policies will remain a hotly debated issue in the months ahead.

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